Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 63.989108 72.490685 81.234830 90.867957 101.150768 111.768559 123.530958
2025-04-06 50.462403 62.490665 75.477925 90.408309 106.970171 124.661371 144.872113
2025-04-13 41.095823 54.732781 70.034374 88.196329 108.904108 131.544143 157.939898
2025-04-20 37.044366 52.306394 69.955008 91.411134 116.366972 144.101516 176.891464
2025-04-27 33.223655 49.621085 69.126913 93.362520 122.050773 154.386102 193.069467
2025-05-04 28.818811 45.729499 66.455267 92.783865 124.497537 160.735800 204.579677
2025-05-11 24.934845 42.094591 63.762007 91.881885 126.312600 166.154913 214.854109
2025-05-18 22.267399 39.788831 62.512244 92.555200 129.854867 173.472613 227.235335
2025-05-25 19.471460 37.028033 60.458415 92.039034 131.804513 178.795980 237.197983
2025-06-01 17.333001 34.984043 59.179363 92.365675 134.678859 185.140983 248.305451
2025-06-08 14.977986 32.380678 56.965119 91.334044 135.744526 189.220773 256.656941
2025-06-15 13.667378 31.237876 56.657894 92.719107 139.787826 196.872455 269.253410
2025-06-22 12.532099 30.289412 56.588760 94.424880 144.281590 205.152914 282.726437
2025-06-29 10.840414 28.247592 54.833817 93.773995 145.699959 209.624369 291.595654
2025-07-06 8.943530 25.607315 52.025835 91.540490 144.956048 211.331442 297.037815
2025-07-13 8.570614 25.657019 53.214911 94.822519 151.405961 222.004342 313.436954
2025-07-20 7.935810 25.145057 53.504143 96.817449 156.150981 230.543924 327.237034
2025-07-27 6.813285 23.545561 52.014223 96.226013 157.422311 234.682880 335.609332
2025-08-03 5.753255 21.905722 50.351862 95.304225 158.190899 238.143115 343.114454
2025-08-10 5.094428 21.013992 49.832765 95.992343 161.093471 244.299110 353.955905
2025-08-17 4.306457 19.695705 48.526624 95.464832 162.305802 248.268153 362.060710
2025-08-24 3.734153 18.778309 47.831622 95.798656 164.663625 253.691006 371.975313
2025-08-31 3.041029 17.401830 46.256187 94.744303 165.065514 256.558974 378.667326